Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 25–28°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August lows near 26°C while incorporating short-term variability from southern China weather systems. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 22°C or below alongside clustered odds near 26–27°C, captures model uncertainty around precipitation timing and any influx of cooler maritime air. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日深圳最低气温?
22°C or below 71%
29°C 49%
25°C 45%
30°C 45%
22°C or below
71%
23°C
39%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
21%
29°C
49%
30°C
45%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
2%
22°C or below 71%
29°C 49%
25°C 45%
30°C 45%
22°C or below
71%
23°C
39%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
28%
27°C
33%
28°C
21%
29°C
49%
30°C
45%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's minimum temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 25–28°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated humidity typical of the region's late-summer monsoon pattern that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with historical August lows near 26°C while incorporating short-term variability from southern China weather systems. Trader sentiment, reflected in the elevated implied probability for 22°C or below alongside clustered odds near 26–27°C, captures model uncertainty around precipitation timing and any influx of cooler maritime air. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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