Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent monsoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with seasonal subtropical norms and explain strong market interest in the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. The elevated 42.5% implied probability on 22°C or below appears driven by model spread or potential for heavier overnight rain bands to enhance evaporative cooling, though official guidance shows limited support for such an anomaly. Traders will watch updated NHC and CMA model runs over the next 48 hours for any shifts in steering flow or precipitation intensity that could alter minimum temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日深圳最低气温？
8月26日深圳最低气温？
22°C or below 85%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
85%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 85%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$0 交易量
85%
23°C
$0 交易量
48%
24°C
$0 交易量
48%
25°C
$0 交易量
48%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
30%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$0 交易量
48%
31°C
$0 交易量
48%
32°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent monsoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with seasonal subtropical norms and explain strong market interest in the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. The elevated 42.5% implied probability on 22°C or below appears driven by model spread or potential for heavier overnight rain bands to enhance evaporative cooling, though official guidance shows limited support for such an anomaly. Traders will watch updated NHC and CMA model runs over the next 48 hours for any shifts in steering flow or precipitation intensity that could alter minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent monsoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with seasonal subtropical norms and explain strong market interest in the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. The elevated 42.5% implied probability on 22°C or below appears driven by model spread or potential for heavier overnight rain bands to enhance evaporative cooling, though official guidance shows limited support for such an anomaly. Traders will watch updated NHC and CMA model runs over the next 48 hours for any shifts in steering flow or precipitation intensity that could alter minimum temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle near 25–27°C amid persistent monsoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light southerly winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with seasonal subtropical norms and explain strong market interest in the 26°C and 27°C outcomes. The elevated 42.5% implied probability on 22°C or below appears driven by model spread or potential for heavier overnight rain bands to enhance evaporative cooling, though official guidance shows limited support for such an anomaly. Traders will watch updated NHC and CMA model runs over the next 48 hours for any shifts in steering flow or precipitation intensity that could alter minimum temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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