Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and easterly flow have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Taipei, with official forecasts from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models converging on a daily minimum of 26°C for September 2. Dew points near 25–26°C and widespread precipitation have sustained these levels through the night, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 23–25°C, but current conditions have held temperatures above that baseline. Only a rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering flow could allow further cooling below 25°C before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日台北气温最低？
9月2日台北气温最低？
26°C 100.0%
22°C 5.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$1,243 交易量
$1,243 交易量
2026-09-02
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C 5.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$1,243 交易量
$1,243 交易量
2026-09-02
21°C or below
$117 交易量
No
22°C
$157 交易量
No
23°C
$217 交易量
No
24°C
$153 交易量
No
25°C
$52 交易量
No
26°C
$157 交易量
Yes
27°C
$45 交易量
No
28°C
$45 交易量
No
29°C
$190 交易量
No
30°C
$25 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$85 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and easterly flow have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Taipei, with official forecasts from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models converging on a daily minimum of 26°C for September 2. Dew points near 25–26°C and widespread precipitation have sustained these levels through the night, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 23–25°C, but current conditions have held temperatures above that baseline. Only a rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering flow could allow further cooling below 25°C before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,243结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and easterly flow have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Taipei, with official forecasts from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models converging on a daily minimum of 26°C for September 2. Dew points near 25–26°C and widespread precipitation have sustained these levels through the night, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 23–25°C, but current conditions have held temperatures above that baseline. Only a rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering flow could allow further cooling below 25°C before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,243结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and easterly flow have kept overnight radiative cooling minimal in Taipei, with official forecasts from sources such as the Central Weather Administration and global models converging on a daily minimum of 26°C for September 2. Dew points near 25–26°C and widespread precipitation have sustained these levels through the night, aligning with the market’s near-100% implied probability for 26°C. Historical early-September climatology shows typical lows of 23–25°C, but current conditions have held temperatures above that baseline. Only a rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering flow could allow further cooling below 25°C before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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