**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 31 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, the UK Met Office, and Yr.no, project overnight lows near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and humidity levels of 65–85%. These conditions limit radiative cooling typical in drier inland areas, as the Mediterranean Sea moderates air masses and maintains relatively high dew points around 20–23°C. Recent stability in late-summer patterns, with no strong frontal systems or heatwave intrusions, supports this consensus. Historical August minima in Tel Aviv average near 25–26°C, providing context for why extremes below 22°C or above 27°C carry lower implied odds. Slight model differences in timing of the daily minimum or local urban heat-island effects explain the close spread among leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official forecasts from agencies like Israel’s meteorological service, with upcoming model updates or real-time observations near resolution likely to drive any final shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日特拉维夫最低气温？
8月31日特拉维夫最低气温？
22°C 48%
23°C 37%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
20%
22°C
48%
23°C
37%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
7%
22°C 48%
23°C 37%
25°C 26%
26°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
21°C or below
$0 交易量
20%
22°C
$0 交易量
48%
23°C
$0 交易量
37%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
8%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
7%
31°C or higher
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 31 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, the UK Met Office, and Yr.no, project overnight lows near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and humidity levels of 65–85%. These conditions limit radiative cooling typical in drier inland areas, as the Mediterranean Sea moderates air masses and maintains relatively high dew points around 20–23°C.
Recent stability in late-summer patterns, with no strong frontal systems or heatwave intrusions, supports this consensus. Historical August minima in Tel Aviv average near 25–26°C, providing context for why extremes below 22°C or above 27°C carry lower implied odds. Slight model differences in timing of the daily minimum or local urban heat-island effects explain the close spread among leading outcomes.
Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official forecasts from agencies like Israel’s meteorological service, with upcoming model updates or real-time observations near resolution likely to drive any final shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 31 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, the UK Met Office, and Yr.no, project overnight lows near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and humidity levels of 65–85%. These conditions limit radiative cooling typical in drier inland areas, as the Mediterranean Sea moderates air masses and maintains relatively high dew points around 20–23°C.
Recent stability in late-summer patterns, with no strong frontal systems or heatwave intrusions, supports this consensus. Historical August minima in Tel Aviv average near 25–26°C, providing context for why extremes below 22°C or above 27°C carry lower implied odds. Slight model differences in timing of the daily minimum or local urban heat-island effects explain the close spread among leading outcomes.
Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official forecasts from agencies like Israel’s meteorological service, with upcoming model updates or real-time observations near resolution likely to drive any final shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast models indicate a minimum temperature for Tel Aviv on August 31 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, WindBorne, the UK Met Office, and Yr.no, project overnight lows near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F) under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and humidity levels of 65–85%. These conditions limit radiative cooling typical in drier inland areas, as the Mediterranean Sea moderates air masses and maintains relatively high dew points around 20–23°C. Recent stability in late-summer patterns, with no strong frontal systems or heatwave intrusions, supports this consensus. Historical August minima in Tel Aviv average near 25–26°C, providing context for why extremes below 22°C or above 27°C carry lower implied odds. Slight model differences in timing of the daily minimum or local urban heat-island effects explain the close spread among leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in official forecasts from agencies like Israel’s meteorological service, with upcoming model updates or real-time observations near resolution likely to drive any final shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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