**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and local Israeli services converge on a daytime high of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 30, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (65%) and 32°C (23.5%).** Westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean and moderate humidity levels near 50% typically cap peak afternoon temperatures in this range during late summer, while limited cloud cover or light drizzle potential could trim the high slightly below model peaks. Recent August observations show typical highs of 30–34°C without extreme heat anomalies, and short-range model runs have remained stable, reinforcing trader consensus around these values with only modest probability assigned to 30°C or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日特拉维夫的最高温度?
31°C 65%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
29°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
65%
32°C
24%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 65%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
29°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
65%
32°C
24%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from sources like the Met Office, Yr.no, and local Israeli services converge on a daytime high of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 30, 2026, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C (65%) and 32°C (23.5%).** Westerly sea breezes from the Mediterranean and moderate humidity levels near 50% typically cap peak afternoon temperatures in this range during late summer, while limited cloud cover or light drizzle potential could trim the high slightly below model peaks. Recent August observations show typical highs of 30–34°C without extreme heat anomalies, and short-range model runs have remained stable, reinforcing trader consensus around these values with only modest probability assigned to 30°C or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题