Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system and increased cloud cover with widespread rain and thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and introducing northerly winds that advect cooler air. This setup favors overnight lows in the 21–23°C range, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 22°C but tempered by reduced insolation and elevated humidity. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C absent major model shifts. Traders have priced the 22–24°C outcomes highest, reflecting consensus on the system’s timing and intensity ahead of potential forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日东京最低气温？
9月4日东京最低气温？
23°C 56%
24°C 46%
22°C 26%
25°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
15%
21°C
17%
22°C
26%
23°C
56%
24°C
46%
25°C
24%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28℃或更高
2%
23°C 56%
24°C 46%
22°C 26%
25°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
8%
19°C
$0 交易量
8%
20°C
$0 交易量
15%
21°C
$0 交易量
17%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
56%
24°C
$0 交易量
46%
25°C
$0 交易量
24%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28℃或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system and increased cloud cover with widespread rain and thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and introducing northerly winds that advect cooler air. This setup favors overnight lows in the 21–23°C range, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 22°C but tempered by reduced insolation and elevated humidity. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C absent major model shifts. Traders have priced the 22–24°C outcomes highest, reflecting consensus on the system’s timing and intensity ahead of potential forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system and increased cloud cover with widespread rain and thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and introducing northerly winds that advect cooler air. This setup favors overnight lows in the 21–23°C range, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 22°C but tempered by reduced insolation and elevated humidity. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C absent major model shifts. Traders have priced the 22–24°C outcomes highest, reflecting consensus on the system’s timing and intensity ahead of potential forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal system and increased cloud cover with widespread rain and thunderstorms over Tokyo on September 4, 2026, suppressing daytime heating and introducing northerly winds that advect cooler air. This setup favors overnight lows in the 21–23°C range, consistent with historical early-September baselines near 22°C but tempered by reduced insolation and elevated humidity. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal risk of extremes below 20°C or above 25°C absent major model shifts. Traders have priced the 22–24°C outcomes highest, reflecting consensus on the system’s timing and intensity ahead of potential forecast updates from the Japan Meteorological Agency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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