Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月21日最低气温？
华沙8月21日最低气温？
16°C 96%
15°C 30%
14°C 3%
13°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
12°C或以下
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
30%
16°C
96%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
16°C 96%
15°C 30%
14°C 3%
13°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
12°C或以下
$645 交易量
1%
13°C
$119 交易量
2%
14°C
$75 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
30%
16°C
$108 交易量
96%
17°C
$1,970 交易量
<1%
18°C
$153 交易量
<1%
19°C
$129 交易量
<1%
20°C
$129 交易量
<1%
21°C
$129 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$160 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$3,617结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,617结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent forecasts from European meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Warsaw around 15–16°C on August 21, driven by overnight radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered thundery showers associated with a weak frontal system. These conditions align with typical late-August patterns where daytime highs near 24–26°C give way to lows moderated by humidity and light winds, preventing sharper drops. Trader consensus reflects updated model runs showing limited deviation from historical averages of 13–15°C for the date, with low probabilities for extremes below 14°C or above 17°C given stable atmospheric pressure and absence of strong cold advection. Upcoming official observations from IMGW-PIB stations will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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