Traders see the lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 22 clustered tightly between 12–15 °C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling under a weak high-pressure ridge. Clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds would favor the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a slightly warmer maritime air mass would hold readings around 14–15 °C. Official guidance from European meteorological centers highlights small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter minimums by 1–2 °C. With resolution just hours away, the market reflects the narrow spread among ensemble members rather than any major shift in large-scale pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日华沙最低气温?
14°C 31%
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
10°C or below 22%
10°C or below
22%
11°C
7%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
31%
15°C
30%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
14°C 31%
13°C 29%
12°C 27%
10°C or below 22%
10°C or below
22%
11°C
7%
12°C
27%
13°C
29%
14°C
31%
15°C
30%
16°C
9%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the lowest temperature in Warsaw on August 22 clustered tightly between 12–15 °C because short-range forecast models show only modest differences in overnight radiative cooling under a weak high-pressure ridge. Clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds would favor the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a slightly warmer maritime air mass would hold readings around 14–15 °C. Official guidance from European meteorological centers highlights small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage that could alter minimums by 1–2 °C. With resolution just hours away, the market reflects the narrow spread among ensemble members rather than any major shift in large-scale pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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