**Trader consensus centers on overnight lows in the low-20s Celsius for Wuhan on September 3, driven by a transient cool-air surge tied to typhoon remnants and enhanced northerly flow.** Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum near 21–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers, as a typhoon inverted trough and monsoon surge advect cooler maritime air southward while 3–6 m s⁻¹ northerly winds limit radiative warming overnight. Historical September climatology for the region places average minima around 23–25 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly. Model-to-model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the wind shift produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23 °C, while the modest probability attached to sub-18 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty should stronger advection or clearer skies develop. The next high-resolution model runs and local nowcasts expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日武汉最低气温？
9月3日武汉最低气温？
17°C or below 96%
19°C 74%
22°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
96%
18°C
9%
19°C
74%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 96%
19°C 74%
22°C 39%
20°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
$5 交易量
96%
18°C
$5 交易量
9%
19°C
$5 交易量
74%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$1 交易量
39%
23°C
$6 交易量
39%
24°C
$233 交易量
<1%
25°C
$85 交易量
<1%
26°C
$110 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$160 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on overnight lows in the low-20s Celsius for Wuhan on September 3, driven by a transient cool-air surge tied to typhoon remnants and enhanced northerly flow.** Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum near 21–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers, as a typhoon inverted trough and monsoon surge advect cooler maritime air southward while 3–6 m s⁻¹ northerly winds limit radiative warming overnight. Historical September climatology for the region places average minima around 23–25 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly. Model-to-model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the wind shift produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23 °C, while the modest probability attached to sub-18 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty should stronger advection or clearer skies develop. The next high-resolution model runs and local nowcasts expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$610结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on overnight lows in the low-20s Celsius for Wuhan on September 3, driven by a transient cool-air surge tied to typhoon remnants and enhanced northerly flow.** Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum near 21–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers, as a typhoon inverted trough and monsoon surge advect cooler maritime air southward while 3–6 m s⁻¹ northerly winds limit radiative warming overnight. Historical September climatology for the region places average minima around 23–25 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly. Model-to-model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the wind shift produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23 °C, while the modest probability attached to sub-18 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty should stronger advection or clearer skies develop. The next high-resolution model runs and local nowcasts expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$610结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on overnight lows in the low-20s Celsius for Wuhan on September 3, driven by a transient cool-air surge tied to typhoon remnants and enhanced northerly flow.** Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple numerical models indicate a minimum near 21–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain or showers, as a typhoon inverted trough and monsoon surge advect cooler maritime air southward while 3–6 m s⁻¹ northerly winds limit radiative warming overnight. Historical September climatology for the region places average minima around 23–25 °C, so the current pattern represents a modest negative anomaly. Model-to-model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of the wind shift produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23 °C, while the modest probability attached to sub-18 °C outcomes reflects residual uncertainty should stronger advection or clearer skies develop. The next high-resolution model runs and local nowcasts expected overnight will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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