Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the August 11 nomination. As the primary declared candidate with incumbency in the district's state Senate District 54, Pratt benefits from a cleared field in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Kistner's strategist declined endorsement, citing Pratt's past Trump criticisms and legislative record, but no major challengers have emerged. Precinct caucuses and county conventions through spring could influence party endorsement, yet traders view Pratt as the prohibitive favorite absent late entrants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,286 交易量
$14,286 交易量
2026-08-11
埃里克·普拉特
88%
泰勒·基斯特纳
9%
$14,286 交易量
$14,286 交易量
2026-08-11
埃里克·普拉特
$2,621 交易量
88%
泰勒·基斯特纳
$11,665 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the August 11 nomination. As the primary declared candidate with incumbency in the district's state Senate District 54, Pratt benefits from a cleared field in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Kistner's strategist declined endorsement, citing Pratt's past Trump criticisms and legislative record, but no major challengers have emerged. Precinct caucuses and county conventions through spring could influence party endorsement, yet traders view Pratt as the prohibitive favorite absent late entrants.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$14,286结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the August 11 nomination. As the primary declared candidate with incumbency in the district's state Senate District 54, Pratt benefits from a cleared field in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Kistner's strategist declined endorsement, citing Pratt's past Trump criticisms and legislative record, but no major challengers have emerged. Precinct caucuses and county conventions through spring could influence party endorsement, yet traders view Pratt as the prohibitive favorite absent late entrants.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$14,286结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Republican primary on April 15, 2026, due to Marine Reserve activation for Pentagon duties, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the August 11 nomination. As the primary declared candidate with incumbency in the district's state Senate District 54, Pratt benefits from a cleared field in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Kistner's strategist declined endorsement, citing Pratt's past Trump criticisms and legislative record, but no major challengers have emerged. Precinct caucuses and county conventions through spring could influence party endorsement, yet traders view Pratt as the prohibitive favorite absent late entrants.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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