OpenAI’s September 22 release of GPT-6 Luna and Sol, positioned as cost-efficient extensions of the GPT-6 Astra family with 50% lower API pricing and improved efficiency for high-volume tasks, has reinforced trader expectations that the company will continue leading the Luna line. The models feature a 1.05-million-token context window, medium-to-max reasoning modes, and benchmarks showing gains in accuracy and agent workflows at roughly half the prior cost, while Anthropic’s near-simultaneous Claude Opus 5.5 launch highlights ongoing competition on price and capability. No other lab has announced a comparable “Luna”-branded tier or 6.1+ successor, and OpenAI’s rapid cadence—following the GPT-5.6 series in July—suggests the next iteration could arrive before year-end absent regulatory delays. Traders should monitor OpenAI’s developer conferences, API changelog updates, and any statements on post-Astra scaling for signals on timing or competitive shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-11-30
11 月 30 日
27%
12月31日
63%
$0 交易量
11 月 30 日
$0 交易量
27%
12月31日
$0 交易量
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (6.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 22 release of GPT-6 Luna and Sol, positioned as cost-efficient extensions of the GPT-6 Astra family with 50% lower API pricing and improved efficiency for high-volume tasks, has reinforced trader expectations that the company will continue leading the Luna line. The models feature a 1.05-million-token context window, medium-to-max reasoning modes, and benchmarks showing gains in accuracy and agent workflows at roughly half the prior cost, while Anthropic’s near-simultaneous Claude Opus 5.5 launch highlights ongoing competition on price and capability. No other lab has announced a comparable “Luna”-branded tier or 6.1+ successor, and OpenAI’s rapid cadence—following the GPT-5.6 series in July—suggests the next iteration could arrive before year-end absent regulatory delays. Traders should monitor OpenAI’s developer conferences, API changelog updates, and any statements on post-Astra scaling for signals on timing or competitive shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (6.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:45 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (6.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s September 22 release of GPT-6 Luna and Sol, positioned as cost-efficient extensions of the GPT-6 Astra family with 50% lower API pricing and improved efficiency for high-volume tasks, has reinforced trader expectations that the company will continue leading the Luna line. The models feature a 1.05-million-token context window, medium-to-max reasoning modes, and benchmarks showing gains in accuracy and agent workflows at roughly half the prior cost, while Anthropic’s near-simultaneous Claude Opus 5.5 launch highlights ongoing competition on price and capability. No other lab has announced a comparable “Luna”-branded tier or 6.1+ successor, and OpenAI’s rapid cadence—following the GPT-5.6 series in July—suggests the next iteration could arrive before year-end absent regulatory delays. Traders should monitor OpenAI’s developer conferences, API changelog updates, and any statements on post-Astra scaling for signals on timing or competitive shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (6.1+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 4:45 PM ETOpenAI’s September 22 release of GPT-6 Luna and Sol, positioned as cost-efficient extensions of the GPT-6 Astra family with 50% lower API pricing and improved efficiency for high-volume tasks, has reinforced trader expectations that the company will continue leading the Luna line. The models feature a 1.05-million-token context window, medium-to-max reasoning modes, and benchmarks showing gains in accuracy and agent workflows at roughly half the prior cost, while Anthropic’s near-simultaneous Claude Opus 5.5 launch highlights ongoing competition on price and capability. No other lab has announced a comparable “Luna”-branded tier or 6.1+ successor, and OpenAI’s rapid cadence—following the GPT-5.6 series in July—suggests the next iteration could arrive before year-end absent regulatory delays. Traders should monitor OpenAI’s developer conferences, API changelog updates, and any statements on post-Astra scaling for signals on timing or competitive shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题