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政治·全球选举

保加利亚下任总理

Market icon
政治·全球选举

保加利亚下任总理

鲁门·拉德夫 80.8%

博伊科·鲍里索夫 4.0%

安德烈·久罗夫 1.1%

克鲁姆·扎尔科夫 1.1%

Polymarket

$171,551 交易量

鲁门·拉德夫 80.8%

博伊科·鲍里索夫 4.0%

安德烈·久罗夫 1.1%

克鲁姆·扎尔科夫 1.1%

Polymarket

$171,551 交易量

2026年议会选举后，鲁门·拉德夫会成为保加利亚下一任总理吗？ icon

鲁门·拉德夫

$49,160 交易量

81%

在2026年议会选举后，博伊科·鲍里索夫会成为保加利亚的下一任总理吗？ icon

博伊科·鲍里索夫

$36,628 交易量

4%

安德烈·久罗夫会在2026年议会选举后成为保加利亚的下一任总理吗？ icon

安德烈·久罗夫

$30,932 交易量

1%

克鲁姆·扎尔科夫会在2026年议会选举后成为保加利亚的下一任总理吗？ icon

克鲁姆·扎尔科夫

$6,316 交易量

1%

2026年议会选举后，阿森·瓦西列夫会成为保加利亚的下一任总理吗？ icon

阿森·瓦西列夫

$6,124 交易量

<1%

德利扬·佩夫斯基会在2026年议会选举后成为保加利亚的下一任总理吗？ icon

德利扬·佩夫斯基

$2,859 交易量

<1%

迪米塔尔·格拉夫切夫会在2026年议会选举后成为保加利亚的下任总理吗？ icon

迪米塔尔·格拉夫切夫

$29,926 交易量

<1%

2026年议会选举后，科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪诺夫会成为保加利亚的下一任总理吗？ icon

科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪诺夫

$3,325 交易量

<1%

2026年议会选举后，罗森·热利亚兹科夫会成为保加利亚的下一任总理吗？ icon

罗森·热利亚兹科夫

$3,889 交易量

<1%

尼科莱·登科夫会在2026年议会选举后成为保加利亚的下任总理吗？ icon

尼科莱·登科夫

$2,398 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Rumen Radev dominates trader consensus at 82% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister, driven by his Progressive Bulgaria coalition's commanding poll lead ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability and protests over corruption. Radev resigned the presidency in January 2026 to launch the alliance, drawing support from rural and older voters frustrated with oligarchic politics, while GERB leader Boyko Borissov lingers at 4% as a coalition wildcard. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov holds low odds despite organizing the vote under interim President Iliana Iotova. Post-election coalition negotiations remain key, with historical fragmentation raising uncertainty despite Radev's frontrunner status.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$171,551
结束日期
2026-04-19
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Rumen Radev dominates trader consensus at 82% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister, driven by his Progressive Bulgaria coalition's commanding poll lead ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth in five years amid chronic instability and protests over corruption. Radev resigned the presidency in January 2026 to launch the alliance, drawing support from rural and older voters frustrated with oligarchic politics, while GERB leader Boyko Borissov lingers at 4% as a coalition wildcard. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov holds low odds despite organizing the vote under interim President Iliana Iotova. Post-election coalition negotiations remain key, with historical fragmentation raising uncertainty despite Radev's frontrunner status.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$171,551
结束日期
2026-04-19
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"保加利亚下任总理"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"鲁门·拉德夫"，概率为 81%，其次是"博伊科·鲍里索夫"，概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"保加利亚下任总理"已产生 $171.6K 的总交易量（自Mar 13, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"保加利亚下任总理"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"保加利亚下任总理"的当前领先者是"鲁门·拉德夫"，概率为 81%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"博伊科·鲍里索夫"，概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"保加利亚下任总理"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。