Keiko Fujimori's commanding first-round performance with around 17% of votes in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates, positions her as the trader-favored frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability to win the June 7 runoff. Official ONPE tallies exceeding 91% of actas show her lead holding firm, while leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino has surged to second at roughly 12% on strong rural support, overtaking right-wing Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9% in the past 48 hours—elevating Sánchez's odds to 17.6% and Aliaga's to 16.5%. Logistical delays, fraud allegations from trailing candidates, and voter frustration over crime and corruption underscore the tight second-place battle, with no outcome yet certified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于凯科·藤森 65%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 17.6%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 17%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特 <1%
$31,791,490 交易量
$31,791,490 交易量
凯科·藤森
65%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
18%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
17%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
<1%
塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
<1%
弗拉基米尔·塞龙
<1%
罗伯托·奇亚布拉
<1%
恩里克·巴尔德拉马
<1%
梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
<1%
豪尔赫·涅托
<1%
马里奥·比斯卡拉
<1%
何塞·卢纳
<1%
何塞·威廉斯
<1%
菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
<1%
费尔南多·奥利韦拉
<1%
约尼·莱斯卡诺
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
<1%
乔治·福赛思
<1%
卡洛斯·埃斯帕
<1%
拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨
<1%
玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略
<1%
沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
<1%
凯科·藤森 65%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 17.6%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 17%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特 <1%
$31,791,490 交易量
$31,791,490 交易量
凯科·藤森
65%
罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺
18%
拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加
17%
里卡多·贝尔蒙特
<1%
卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯
<1%
塞萨尔·阿库尼亚
<1%
弗拉基米尔·塞龙
<1%
罗伯托·奇亚布拉
<1%
恩里克·巴尔德拉马
<1%
梅西亚斯·格瓦拉
<1%
豪尔赫·涅托
<1%
马里奥·比斯卡拉
<1%
何塞·卢纳
<1%
何塞·威廉斯
<1%
菲奥雷拉·莫利内利
<1%
费尔南多·奥利韦拉
<1%
约尼·莱斯卡诺
<1%
阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌
<1%
乔治·福赛思
<1%
卡洛斯·埃斯帕
<1%
拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨
<1%
玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略
<1%
沃尔夫冈·格罗佐
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori's commanding first-round performance with around 17% of votes in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, amid a fragmented field of 35 candidates, positions her as the trader-favored frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability to win the June 7 runoff. Official ONPE tallies exceeding 91% of actas show her lead holding firm, while leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez Palomino has surged to second at roughly 12% on strong rural support, overtaking right-wing Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9% in the past 48 hours—elevating Sánchez's odds to 17.6% and Aliaga's to 16.5%. Logistical delays, fraud allegations from trailing candidates, and voter frustration over crime and corruption underscore the tight second-place battle, with no outcome yet certified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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