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秘鲁总统选举获胜者

Market icon

秘鲁总统选举获胜者

凯科·藤森 65%

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 18%

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 17.4%

里卡多·贝尔蒙特 <1%

Polymarket

$31,831,711 交易量

凯科·藤森 65%

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加 18%

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺 17.4%

里卡多·贝尔蒙特 <1%

Polymarket

$31,831,711 交易量

凯科·藤森会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

凯科·藤森

$4,108,808 交易量

65%

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加

$6,218,420 交易量

18%

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

罗伯托·桑切斯·帕洛米诺

$5,624,892 交易量

17%

里卡多·贝尔蒙特会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

里卡多·贝尔蒙特

$3,199,263 交易量

<1%

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

卡洛斯·阿尔瓦雷斯

$1,792,877 交易量

<1%

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

塞萨尔·阿库尼亚

$626,867 交易量

<1%

弗拉基米尔·塞龙会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

弗拉基米尔·塞龙

$241,972 交易量

<1%

罗伯托·奇亚布拉会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

罗伯托·奇亚布拉

$126,420 交易量

<1%

恩里克·巴尔德拉马会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

恩里克·巴尔德拉马

$240,856 交易量

<1%

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

梅西亚斯·格瓦拉

$318,078 交易量

<1%

豪尔赫·涅托会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

豪尔赫·涅托

$3,957,843 交易量

<1%

马里奥·比斯卡拉会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

马里奥·比斯卡拉

$192,887 交易量

<1%

何塞·卢纳会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

何塞·卢纳

$360,828 交易量

<1%

何塞·威廉斯会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

何塞·威廉斯

$131,964 交易量

<1%

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

菲奥雷拉·莫利内利

$154,433 交易量

<1%

费尔南多·奥利韦拉会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

费尔南多·奥利韦拉

$437,406 交易量

<1%

约尼·莱斯卡诺会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

约尼·莱斯卡诺

$428,430 交易量

<1%

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

阿方索·洛佩斯·查乌

$1,214,493 交易量

<1%

乔治·福赛思会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

乔治·福赛思

$271,278 交易量

<1%

卡洛斯·埃斯帕会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

卡洛斯·埃斯帕

$679,352 交易量

<1%

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

拉斐尔·贝劳恩德·略萨

$214,595 交易量

<1%

玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略会赢得2026年秘鲁总统大选吗? icon

玛丽索尔·佩雷斯·特略

$632,529 交易量

<1%

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐会赢得2026年秘鲁总统选举吗? icon

沃尔夫冈·格罗佐

$668,138 交易量

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential vote count at over 91% tabulated with 17%, securing her spot in the June 7 runoff, per ONPE data, as no candidate reached 50% amid a fragmented field of 35 contenders. Trader consensus prices reflect her frontrunner status from consistent pre-election polls and exit polls, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and historical near-victories. Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga vie tightly for second at around 12% and 11.8%, with Sánchez recently surging on left-wing support tied to ex-President Castillo's base, while López Aliaga faces headwinds from fraud allegations and protests over April 12-13 voting delays. International observers report no major irregularities despite logistical failures extending polls.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$31,831,711
结束日期
2026-06-07
市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads Peru's first-round presidential vote count at over 91% tabulated with 17%, securing her spot in the June 7 runoff, per ONPE data, as no candidate reached 50% amid a fragmented field of 35 contenders. Trader consensus prices reflect her frontrunner status from consistent pre-election polls and exit polls, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and historical near-victories. Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga vie tightly for second at around 12% and 11.8%, with Sánchez recently surging on left-wing support tied to ex-President Castillo's base, while López Aliaga faces headwinds from fraud allegations and protests over April 12-13 voting delays. International observers report no major irregularities despite logistical failures extending polls.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$31,831,711
结束日期
2026-06-07
市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"秘鲁总统选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 23 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"凯科·藤森",概率为 65%,其次是"拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 65¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 65%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"秘鲁总统选举获胜者"已产生 $31.8 million 的总交易量(自Dec 16, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"秘鲁总统选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 23 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"秘鲁总统选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"凯科·藤森",概率为 65%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 65%。紧随其后的结果是"拉斐尔·洛佩斯·阿利亚加",概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"秘鲁总统选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。