Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile and drone strikes on Ras Laffan and Mesaieed facilities in mid-March 2026 that halted operations and damaged up to 17% of capacity. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected LNG contracts, with CEO Saad al-Kaabi stating repairs could take three to five years even after hostilities end, far exceeding the deadline. No official resumption announcements have followed, amid ongoing regional tensions over the shared North Field gas reservoir; de-escalation or accelerated repairs could shift odds, though current geopolitical risks sustain the bearish outlook on timely restarts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
$15,497 交易量
最新
$15,497 交易量
2026-04-30
最新
$15,497 交易量
最新
$15,497 交易量
2026-04-30
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile and drone strikes on Ras Laffan and Mesaieed facilities in mid-March 2026 that halted operations and damaged up to 17% of capacity. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected LNG contracts, with CEO Saad al-Kaabi stating repairs could take three to five years even after hostilities end, far exceeding the deadline. No official resumption announcements have followed, amid ongoing regional tensions over the shared North Field gas reservoir; de-escalation or accelerated repairs could shift odds, though current geopolitical risks sustain the bearish outlook on timely restarts.
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$15,497结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile and drone strikes on Ras Laffan and Mesaieed facilities in mid-March 2026 that halted operations and damaged up to 17% of capacity. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected LNG contracts, with CEO Saad al-Kaabi stating repairs could take three to five years even after hostilities end, far exceeding the deadline. No official resumption announcements have followed, amid ongoing regional tensions over the shared North Field gas reservoir; de-escalation or accelerated repairs could shift odds, though current geopolitical risks sustain the bearish outlook on timely restarts.
QatarEnergy, a Qatari state-owned petroleum company, announced on March 2 that it would halt production of liquefied natural gas (LNG) due to military strikes on its operating facilities (see: https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/MediaCenter/Pages/newsdetails.aspx?ItemId=3892).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QatarEnergy resumes production of liquefied natural gas at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar, or officially announces that such production has resumed or will resume, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
QatarEnergy resuming the production of other halted products, including downstream LNG-related products, or resuming transportation of LNG without resuming production, will not alone count.
An official announcement that LNG production will resume at QatarEnergy LNG production facilities in Qatar must signal the end of the total LNG production halt effective immediately or on a specific date or clearly defined time window. Mere statements that production will resume at some undefined point in the future, or that production will resume once the halt has ended, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from QatarEnergy (https://www.qatarenergy.qa/en/Pages/vHome.aspx); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,497结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 90.5% implied probability for QatarEnergy announcing or resuming LNG production in Qatar by April 30, driven by Iranian missile and drone strikes on Ras Laffan and Mesaieed facilities in mid-March 2026 that halted operations and damaged up to 17% of capacity. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on affected LNG contracts, with CEO Saad al-Kaabi stating repairs could take three to five years even after hostilities end, far exceeding the deadline. No official resumption announcements have followed, amid ongoing regional tensions over the shared North Field gas reservoir; de-escalation or accelerated repairs could shift odds, though current geopolitical risks sustain the bearish outlook on timely restarts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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