US military operations in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics enforcement and targeted actions, including the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro under Operation Absolute Resolve, rather than a broader offensive to seize territory. Trader consensus on low odds for a full invasion by late 2026 stems from these limited objectives, ongoing sanctions and cartel designations, and the absence of signals for sustained ground control. Recent US deployment of assets for post-earthquake relief in June 2026, at Venezuelan authorities' request, points to coordination amid transition talks. Key variables include Maduro's ongoing US legal proceedings, potential further strikes on trafficking networks, and any shifts in administration priorities that could alter the scope of engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,196,272 交易量
2026-03-30
12月31日
3%
$14,196,272 交易量
12月31日
$240,263 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military operations in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics enforcement and targeted actions, including the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro under Operation Absolute Resolve, rather than a broader offensive to seize territory. Trader consensus on low odds for a full invasion by late 2026 stems from these limited objectives, ongoing sanctions and cartel designations, and the absence of signals for sustained ground control. Recent US deployment of assets for post-earthquake relief in June 2026, at Venezuelan authorities' request, points to coordination amid transition talks. Key variables include Maduro's ongoing US legal proceedings, potential further strikes on trafficking networks, and any shifts in administration priorities that could alter the scope of engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$14,196,272结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US military operations in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics enforcement and targeted actions, including the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro under Operation Absolute Resolve, rather than a broader offensive to seize territory. Trader consensus on low odds for a full invasion by late 2026 stems from these limited objectives, ongoing sanctions and cartel designations, and the absence of signals for sustained ground control. Recent US deployment of assets for post-earthquake relief in June 2026, at Venezuelan authorities' request, points to coordination amid transition talks. Key variables include Maduro's ongoing US legal proceedings, potential further strikes on trafficking networks, and any shifts in administration priorities that could alter the scope of engagement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$14,196,272结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETUS military operations in Venezuela have centered on counter-narcotics enforcement and targeted actions, including the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro under Operation Absolute Resolve, rather than a broader offensive to seize territory. Trader consensus on low odds for a full invasion by late 2026 stems from these limited objectives, ongoing sanctions and cartel designations, and the absence of signals for sustained ground control. Recent US deployment of assets for post-earthquake relief in June 2026, at Venezuelan authorities' request, points to coordination amid transition talks. Key variables include Maduro's ongoing US legal proceedings, potential further strikes on trafficking networks, and any shifts in administration priorities that could alter the scope of engagement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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