Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability, driven by President Trump's singular, sarcastic use of "Praise be to Allah" in an Easter Sunday Truth Social post threatening Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions over a U.S. airman rescue and naval frictions. The profanity-laced message, posted April 5, sparked partisan backlash but drew no repetition in subsequent statements, including White House Easter Egg Roll remarks where Trump doubled down on profane warnings without religious rhetoric. With six days until resolution, traders view recurrence as improbable given Trump's consistent hawkish Iran policy, pro-Israel alliances, and avoidance of such phrasing historically, barring fresh provocations like airstrikes or diplomatic breakdowns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$226,795 交易量
$226,795 交易量
2026-04-15
是
$226,795 交易量
$226,795 交易量
2026-04-15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability, driven by President Trump's singular, sarcastic use of "Praise be to Allah" in an Easter Sunday Truth Social post threatening Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions over a U.S. airman rescue and naval frictions. The profanity-laced message, posted April 5, sparked partisan backlash but drew no repetition in subsequent statements, including White House Easter Egg Roll remarks where Trump doubled down on profane warnings without religious rhetoric. With six days until resolution, traders view recurrence as improbable given Trump's consistent hawkish Iran policy, pro-Israel alliances, and avoidance of such phrasing historically, barring fresh provocations like airstrikes or diplomatic breakdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
交易量
$226,795结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability, driven by President Trump's singular, sarcastic use of "Praise be to Allah" in an Easter Sunday Truth Social post threatening Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions over a U.S. airman rescue and naval frictions. The profanity-laced message, posted April 5, sparked partisan backlash but drew no repetition in subsequent statements, including White House Easter Egg Roll remarks where Trump doubled down on profane warnings without religious rhetoric. With six days until resolution, traders view recurrence as improbable given Trump's consistent hawkish Iran policy, pro-Israel alliances, and avoidance of such phrasing historically, barring fresh provocations like airstrikes or diplomatic breakdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
交易量
$226,795结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 2:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93% implied probability, driven by President Trump's singular, sarcastic use of "Praise be to Allah" in an Easter Sunday Truth Social post threatening Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions over a U.S. airman rescue and naval frictions. The profanity-laced message, posted April 5, sparked partisan backlash but drew no repetition in subsequent statements, including White House Easter Egg Roll remarks where Trump doubled down on profane warnings without religious rhetoric. With six days until resolution, traders view recurrence as improbable given Trump's consistent hawkish Iran policy, pro-Israel alliances, and avoidance of such phrasing historically, barring fresh provocations like airstrikes or diplomatic breakdowns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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