Xi Jinping’s continued dominance, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military and party figures including Central Military Commission members, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. These actions have centralized authority within the Politburo Standing Committee and eliminated potential rivals ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Xi remains actively engaged in bilateral diplomacy, including recent BRICS engagements, with no public signals of health issues, factional challenges, or resignation. The market reflects this stability, as no institutional mechanisms or visible opposition currently threaten his General Secretary role through year-end. Late developments such as a sudden leadership crisis or major policy reversal could still shift probabilities, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
4% 概率
$13,193,023 交易量
$13,193,023 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
是
4% 概率
$13,193,023 交易量
$13,193,023 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s continued dominance, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military and party figures including Central Military Commission members, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. These actions have centralized authority within the Politburo Standing Committee and eliminated potential rivals ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Xi remains actively engaged in bilateral diplomacy, including recent BRICS engagements, with no public signals of health issues, factional challenges, or resignation. The market reflects this stability, as no institutional mechanisms or visible opposition currently threaten his General Secretary role through year-end. Late developments such as a sudden leadership crisis or major policy reversal could still shift probabilities, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
交易量
$13,193,023结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s continued dominance, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military and party figures including Central Military Commission members, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. These actions have centralized authority within the Politburo Standing Committee and eliminated potential rivals ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Xi remains actively engaged in bilateral diplomacy, including recent BRICS engagements, with no public signals of health issues, factional challenges, or resignation. The market reflects this stability, as no institutional mechanisms or visible opposition currently threaten his General Secretary role through year-end. Late developments such as a sudden leadership crisis or major policy reversal could still shift probabilities, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,193,023结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ETXi Jinping’s continued dominance, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption purges that have removed senior military and party figures including Central Military Commission members, underpins the 96.3% trader consensus against removal before 2027. These actions have centralized authority within the Politburo Standing Committee and eliminated potential rivals ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Xi remains actively engaged in bilateral diplomacy, including recent BRICS engagements, with no public signals of health issues, factional challenges, or resignation. The market reflects this stability, as no institutional mechanisms or visible opposition currently threaten his General Secretary role through year-end. Late developments such as a sudden leadership crisis or major policy reversal could still shift probabilities, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题