Incumbent Republican Cory Mills seeks re-election in Florida’s 7th congressional district under newly drawn maps, with the August 18 primaries determining both parties’ nominees ahead of the November general election. Multiple Republican challengers including Ryan Elijah, Sarah Ulrich, and Michael Johnson have filed, amid reports of scandals that have drawn Democratic targeting and prompted race ratings of Likely Republican from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders include Alan Grayson and Marialana Kinter. These factors, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and the timing of the upcoming primaries, contribute to the current trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities for each party’s nominee to prevail in November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertFL-07 Wahlsieger
FL-07 Wahlsieger
$20,644 Vol.
$20,644 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
53%
Demokratische Partei
33%
$20,644 Vol.
$20,644 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$12,637 Vol.
53%
Demokratische Partei
$8,007 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills seeks re-election in Florida’s 7th congressional district under newly drawn maps, with the August 18 primaries determining both parties’ nominees ahead of the November general election. Multiple Republican challengers including Ryan Elijah, Sarah Ulrich, and Michael Johnson have filed, amid reports of scandals that have drawn Democratic targeting and prompted race ratings of Likely Republican from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders include Alan Grayson and Marialana Kinter. These factors, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and the timing of the upcoming primaries, contribute to the current trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities for each party’s nominee to prevail in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$20,644Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cory Mills seeks re-election in Florida’s 7th congressional district under newly drawn maps, with the August 18 primaries determining both parties’ nominees ahead of the November general election. Multiple Republican challengers including Ryan Elijah, Sarah Ulrich, and Michael Johnson have filed, amid reports of scandals that have drawn Democratic targeting and prompted race ratings of Likely Republican from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders include Alan Grayson and Marialana Kinter. These factors, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and the timing of the upcoming primaries, contribute to the current trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities for each party’s nominee to prevail in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$20,644Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cory Mills seeks re-election in Florida’s 7th congressional district under newly drawn maps, with the August 18 primaries determining both parties’ nominees ahead of the November general election. Multiple Republican challengers including Ryan Elijah, Sarah Ulrich, and Michael Johnson have filed, amid reports of scandals that have drawn Democratic targeting and prompted race ratings of Likely Republican from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders include Alan Grayson and Marialana Kinter. These factors, combined with the district’s partisan voting index and the timing of the upcoming primaries, contribute to the current trader consensus reflected in the leading probabilities for each party’s nominee to prevail in November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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