Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF project Atlanta's March 23 high temperature in the 78-81°F range, fueling the tight clustering of trader probabilities at 25% for 78-79°F, 23.5% for 80-81°F, and 23% for 76-77°F. This consensus stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast promoting subsidence warming and southerly low-level flow advecting mild Gulf moisture, against a March climatological average of 67°F. Differentiating factors include slight GFS-ECMWF spreads—GFS leaning warmer at 81°F via deeper boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF tempers to 79°F with diurnally timed cumulus clouds—plus observed +5°F anomalies from recent warm spells, heightening uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z model runs for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 14%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
12%
78-79°F 25%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
74-75°F 14%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
4%
84°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF project Atlanta's March 23 high temperature in the 78-81°F range, fueling the tight clustering of trader probabilities at 25% for 78-79°F, 23.5% for 80-81°F, and 23% for 76-77°F. This consensus stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast promoting subsidence warming and southerly low-level flow advecting mild Gulf moisture, against a March climatological average of 67°F. Differentiating factors include slight GFS-ECMWF spreads—GFS leaning warmer at 81°F via deeper boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF tempers to 79°F with diurnally timed cumulus clouds—plus observed +5°F anomalies from recent warm spells, heightening uncertainty in peak afternoon heating. Traders eye tomorrow's 12z model runs for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen