Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that tempers partly cloudy to cloudy conditions. Recent SAWS updates indicate warm starts transitioning to cooler afternoons with increased cloud cover and southerly winds, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks; implied odds favor 17°C (27.5%) ahead of 16°C (23.5%) and 18°C (21.0%) due to model consensus around mid-teens Celsius amid wind chill advisories for nearby areas. Autumnal frontal patterns add variability, with historical April maxima averaging 22°C but current guidance showing divergence on front timing—watch SAWS evening bulletins for refined outlooks before resolution via official measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
17°C 29%
16°C 23%
18°C 23%
15°C 13%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
13%
16°C
23%
17°C
29%
18°C
23%
19°C
10%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 29%
16°C 23%
18°C 23%
15°C 13%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
13%
16°C
23%
17°C
29%
18°C
23%
19°C
10%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that tempers partly cloudy to cloudy conditions. Recent SAWS updates indicate warm starts transitioning to cooler afternoons with increased cloud cover and southerly winds, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks; implied odds favor 17°C (27.5%) ahead of 16°C (23.5%) and 18°C (21.0%) due to model consensus around mid-teens Celsius amid wind chill advisories for nearby areas. Autumnal frontal patterns add variability, with historical April maxima averaging 22°C but current guidance showing divergence on front timing—watch SAWS evening bulletins for refined outlooks before resolution via official measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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