Trader sentiment on Dallas's March 22 high temperature hinges on ensemble weather model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which diverge by 3-4°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge bringing subsiding air and southerly winds from the Gulf. The closely matched 94-95°F (25%) and 98°F+ (24.5%) odds reflect GFS runs pushing toward record-challenging heat above the March average of 68°F, while Euro models temper peaks with slight mid-afternoon cloudiness risks; 96-97°F (21.5%) captures the consensus mean. Recent developments include a 2°F upward revision in the 12Z GFS due to drier boundary layer conditions, heightening volatility as observations confirm anomalously warm overnight lows in the 60s°F. Resolution depends on official DFW Airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 22. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Dallas am 22. März?
94-95°F 25%
98°F oder höher 24%
96-97°F 23%
92-93°F 18%
$35,133 Vol.
$35,133 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
23%
98°F oder höher
24%
94-95°F 25%
98°F oder höher 24%
96-97°F 23%
92-93°F 18%
$35,133 Vol.
$35,133 Vol.
79°F oder darunter
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
23%
98°F oder höher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Dallas's March 22 high temperature hinges on ensemble weather model forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF, which diverge by 3-4°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge bringing subsiding air and southerly winds from the Gulf. The closely matched 94-95°F (25%) and 98°F+ (24.5%) odds reflect GFS runs pushing toward record-challenging heat above the March average of 68°F, while Euro models temper peaks with slight mid-afternoon cloudiness risks; 96-97°F (21.5%) captures the consensus mean. Recent developments include a 2°F upward revision in the 12Z GFS due to drier boundary layer conditions, heightening volatility as observations confirm anomalously warm overnight lows in the 60s°F. Resolution depends on official DFW Airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen