Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 1?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,592 Vol.
$79,592 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,592 Vol.
$79,592 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 1, driven by real-time observations from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport weather station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 35°C during midday amid partly cloudy skies and intense solar heating early in the day. BMKG synoptic reports confirm this maximum, aligning with dry season onset climatology where Jakarta averages 32°C highs but urban heat island effects routinely push readings to 35°C or higher, especially under light winds and high humidity. Light rain later moderated conditions, preventing escalation. Realistic challenges include rare post-day data revisions from BMKG audits revealing a higher peak, though improbable given the day's progression and model consensus for 32–33°C daytime maxima. Final daily summary expected soon from BMKG.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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