Ensemble weather models from IMD and global forecasts like GFS and ECMWF drive closely matched odds for Lucknow's March 27 peak temperature, with trader consensus favoring 33-35°C at over 78% implied probability, reflecting dry northerly winds enhancing daytime heating under clear skies. Recent observations show soil moisture deficits from a prolonged dry spell amplifying diurnal temperature ranges, nudging models toward 34°C as the median outcome, while minimal cloud cover differentiates higher probabilities from cooler 32°C or below. Historical March maxima average 32-34°C, but current upper-air ridging supports slight warm anomalies; watch IMD's evening update for resolution-defining refinements amid 1-2°C model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 27. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 27. März?
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C oder weniger
9%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 30%
34°C 28%
35°C 21%
36°C 13%
32°C oder weniger
9%
33°C
30%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from IMD and global forecasts like GFS and ECMWF drive closely matched odds for Lucknow's March 27 peak temperature, with trader consensus favoring 33-35°C at over 78% implied probability, reflecting dry northerly winds enhancing daytime heating under clear skies. Recent observations show soil moisture deficits from a prolonged dry spell amplifying diurnal temperature ranges, nudging models toward 34°C as the median outcome, while minimal cloud cover differentiates higher probabilities from cooler 32°C or below. Historical March maxima average 32-34°C, but current upper-air ridging supports slight warm anomalies; watch IMD's evening update for resolution-defining refinements amid 1-2°C model spread.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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