**Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures around 22-23°C for Milan on April 11, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on 21°C and 39.5% on 22°C amid tight model spread.** This reflects ongoing influence from a persistent upper-level ridge over northern Italy, which fueled recent highs of 25-26°C on April 6-7, promoting southerly flow and above-normal warmth—well exceeding April's historical average high of 17-18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency, potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks to 21°C, versus clearer skies allowing 22°C or slight intensification toward 23°C+ (11.5%). Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor overnight ECMWF updates and morning soundings for refinements before afternoon peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on April 11?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 11?
21°C 44%
22°C 40%
23°C or higher 12%
20°C 7.6%
$36,196 Vol.
$36,196 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
44%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
12%
21°C 44%
22°C 40%
23°C or higher 12%
20°C 7.6%
$36,196 Vol.
$36,196 Vol.
11. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
$2,025 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,316 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,417 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,243 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,142 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,333 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,615 Vol.
1%
20°C
$4,455 Vol.
8%
21°C
$2,779 Vol.
44%
22°C
$2,120 Vol.
40%
23°C or higher
$6,753 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures around 22-23°C for Milan on April 11, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on 21°C and 39.5% on 22°C amid tight model spread.** This reflects ongoing influence from a persistent upper-level ridge over northern Italy, which fueled recent highs of 25-26°C on April 6-7, promoting southerly flow and above-normal warmth—well exceeding April's historical average high of 17-18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency, potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks to 21°C, versus clearer skies allowing 22°C or slight intensification toward 23°C+ (11.5%). Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor overnight ECMWF updates and morning soundings for refinements before afternoon peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$36,196Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures around 22-23°C for Milan on April 11, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on 21°C and 39.5% on 22°C amid tight model spread.** This reflects ongoing influence from a persistent upper-level ridge over northern Italy, which fueled recent highs of 25-26°C on April 6-7, promoting southerly flow and above-normal warmth—well exceeding April's historical average high of 17-18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency, potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks to 21°C, versus clearer skies allowing 22°C or slight intensification toward 23°C+ (11.5%). Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor overnight ECMWF updates and morning soundings for refinements before afternoon peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,196Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 7, 2026, 12:16 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts cluster maximum temperatures around 22-23°C for Milan on April 11, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on 21°C and 39.5% on 22°C amid tight model spread.** This reflects ongoing influence from a persistent upper-level ridge over northern Italy, which fueled recent highs of 25-26°C on April 6-7, promoting southerly flow and above-normal warmth—well exceeding April's historical average high of 17-18°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include boundary layer mixing efficiency, potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks to 21°C, versus clearer skies allowing 22°C or slight intensification toward 23°C+ (11.5%). Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; monitor overnight ECMWF updates and morning soundings for refinements before afternoon peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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