Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport's weather station confirm the highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 10°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with IMGW forecasts predicting maxima of 8-11°C under persistent northerly winds and widespread cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating during a regional cool spell. Early April climatology supports such conditions, with historical highs averaging 12-13°C but frequent dips below 11°C due to variable pressure systems over central Europe. Resolution criteria hinge on validated airport data, leaving negligible uncertainty; only an improbable sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final IMGW summaries expected shortly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 10?
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$125,169 Vol.
$125,169 Vol.
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$125,169 Vol.
$125,169 Vol.
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport's weather station confirm the highest temperature on April 10 reached exactly 10°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with IMGW forecasts predicting maxima of 8-11°C under persistent northerly winds and widespread cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating during a regional cool spell. Early April climatology supports such conditions, with historical highs averaging 12-13°C but frequent dips below 11°C due to variable pressure systems over central Europe. Resolution criteria hinge on validated airport data, leaving negligible uncertainty; only an improbable sensor recalibration could challenge this positioning, with final IMGW summaries expected shortly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen