Observed maximum temperature at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's key resolution station, peaked at 4°C midday on April 10, per Russian Hydrometeorological Center observations and Gismeteo records, fueling 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Northerly winds at 25-43 km/h ushered cold air masses, while persistent overcast skies, light snow, and rain suppressed solar heating despite early April climatological averages of 6-8°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converged on this low-end scenario pre-event. With sunset at 19:25 local time and temperatures now falling to 1-3°C amid ongoing precipitation, a challenge to 5°C or higher would require an improbable late-day clearing and radiative surge, unlikely under current atmospheric conditions. Final hourly data expected by midnight UTC.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on April 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 10?
4°C 100.0%
-4°C or below <1%
-3°C <1%
-2°C <1%
$109,927 Vol.
$109,927 Vol.
-4°C or below
No
-3°C
No
-2°C
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
Yes
5°C
No
6°C or higher
No
4°C 100.0%
-4°C or below <1%
-3°C <1%
-2°C <1%
$109,927 Vol.
$109,927 Vol.
-4°C or below
No
-3°C
No
-2°C
No
-1°C
No
0°C
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
Yes
5°C
No
6°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Observed maximum temperature at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's key resolution station, peaked at 4°C midday on April 10, per Russian Hydrometeorological Center observations and Gismeteo records, fueling 100% trader consensus on this outcome. Northerly winds at 25-43 km/h ushered cold air masses, while persistent overcast skies, light snow, and rain suppressed solar heating despite early April climatological averages of 6-8°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS converged on this low-end scenario pre-event. With sunset at 19:25 local time and temperatures now falling to 1-3°C amid ongoing precipitation, a challenge to 5°C or higher would require an improbable late-day clearing and radiative surge, unlikely under current atmospheric conditions. Final hourly data expected by midnight UTC.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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