Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 10°C at 43% implied probability for Moscow today, driven by the latest forecasts from Russian meteorological services like Phobos Center and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs near 9–11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and easterly winds at 4–9 m/s. This follows colder-than-normal April 10–11 highs around 4–5°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly flows, now shifting to allow modest spring warming aligned with mid-April climatological averages of 9–10°C. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF analogs) indicate limited solar insolation capping peaks, though clearer breaks could push toward 11–13°C; hourly observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports will refine this as the afternoon progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
10°C 44%
9°C 24%
11°C 21%
8°C 4.8%
$20,381 Vol.
$20,381 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
24%
10°C
44%
11°C
21%
12°C
4%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 44%
9°C 24%
11°C 21%
8°C 4.8%
$20,381 Vol.
$20,381 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
7°C or below
$2,578 Vol.
1%
8°C
$2,320 Vol.
5%
9°C
$1,938 Vol.
24%
10°C
$1,572 Vol.
44%
11°C
$1,846 Vol.
21%
12°C
$1,086 Vol.
4%
13°C
$1,550 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,510 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,300 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,839 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 10°C at 43% implied probability for Moscow today, driven by the latest forecasts from Russian meteorological services like Phobos Center and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs near 9–11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and easterly winds at 4–9 m/s. This follows colder-than-normal April 10–11 highs around 4–5°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly flows, now shifting to allow modest spring warming aligned with mid-April climatological averages of 9–10°C. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF analogs) indicate limited solar insolation capping peaks, though clearer breaks could push toward 11–13°C; hourly observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports will refine this as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volumen
$20,381Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 10°C at 43% implied probability for Moscow today, driven by the latest forecasts from Russian meteorological services like Phobos Center and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs near 9–11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and easterly winds at 4–9 m/s. This follows colder-than-normal April 10–11 highs around 4–5°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly flows, now shifting to allow modest spring warming aligned with mid-April climatological averages of 9–10°C. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF analogs) indicate limited solar insolation capping peaks, though clearer breaks could push toward 11–13°C; hourly observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports will refine this as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,381Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 10°C at 43% implied probability for Moscow today, driven by the latest forecasts from Russian meteorological services like Phobos Center and Gismeteo, which project daytime highs near 9–11°C under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and easterly winds at 4–9 m/s. This follows colder-than-normal April 10–11 highs around 4–5°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly flows, now shifting to allow modest spring warming aligned with mid-April climatological averages of 9–10°C. Model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF analogs) indicate limited solar insolation capping peaks, though clearer breaks could push toward 11–13°C; hourly observations from Vnukovo and Domodedovo airports will refine this as the afternoon progresses.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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