Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS have converged on a high temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the 92% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as traders align with this strong consensus backed by a high-pressure ridge delivering mild advection from the south. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Centre outlooks support this, projecting daytime highs of 9–14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, a marked warmup from the recent cold snap peaking at just 4°C on April 10. Climatological mid-April averages hover near 11°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include model spreads of ±2°C widening under increased cloud cover or a sudden reinforcement of colder Arctic air, though current synoptic patterns make sub-11°C unlikely; final hourly observations from VVC stations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.5%
9°C 2.1%
8°C 2.1%
$13,911 Vol.
$13,911 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C or higher
92%
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.5%
9°C 2.1%
8°C 2.1%
$13,911 Vol.
$13,911 Vol.
13. Apr. 2026
1°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$1,688 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$1,664 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,025 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$665 Vol.
2%
9°C
$759 Vol.
2%
10°C
$1,000 Vol.
4%
11°C or higher
$1,876 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS have converged on a high temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the 92% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as traders align with this strong consensus backed by a high-pressure ridge delivering mild advection from the south. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Centre outlooks support this, projecting daytime highs of 9–14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, a marked warmup from the recent cold snap peaking at just 4°C on April 10. Climatological mid-April averages hover near 11°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include model spreads of ±2°C widening under increased cloud cover or a sudden reinforcement of colder Arctic air, though current synoptic patterns make sub-11°C unlikely; final hourly observations from VVC stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$13,911Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS have converged on a high temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the 92% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as traders align with this strong consensus backed by a high-pressure ridge delivering mild advection from the south. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Centre outlooks support this, projecting daytime highs of 9–14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, a marked warmup from the recent cold snap peaking at just 4°C on April 10. Climatological mid-April averages hover near 11°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include model spreads of ±2°C widening under increased cloud cover or a sudden reinforcement of colder Arctic air, though current synoptic patterns make sub-11°C unlikely; final hourly observations from VVC stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$13,911Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading global models like ECMWF and GFS have converged on a high temperature around 12°C for Moscow on April 13, driving the 92% market-implied probability for 11°C or higher as traders align with this strong consensus backed by a high-pressure ridge delivering mild advection from the south. Official Russian Hydrometeorological Centre outlooks support this, projecting daytime highs of 9–14°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, a marked warmup from the recent cold snap peaking at just 4°C on April 10. Climatological mid-April averages hover near 11°C, reinforcing the positioning. Realistic challenges include model spreads of ±2°C widening under increased cloud cover or a sudden reinforcement of colder Arctic air, though current synoptic patterns make sub-11°C unlikely; final hourly observations from VVC stations will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen