Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Milan's highest temperature on April 13 will likely peak at 15-17°C, fueling the closely matched trader sentiment with 27-28% implied probabilities for 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C or higher. This positioning stems from a recent breakdown of high-pressure warmth—today's highs near 20°C—yielding to an Atlantic frontal system ushering cooler northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Key differentiators include front timing and precipitation coverage: delayed arrival or breaks in clouds could push toward 17°C+, while persistent overcast favors 15-16°C. Official Milano Linate Airport readings resolve the market; overnight model updates may sharpen the outlook amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
$11,625 Vol.
$11,625 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
28%
15°C 28%
17°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
14°C 21%
$11,625 Vol.
$11,625 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
21%
15°C
28%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Milan's highest temperature on April 13 will likely peak at 15-17°C, fueling the closely matched trader sentiment with 27-28% implied probabilities for 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C or higher. This positioning stems from a recent breakdown of high-pressure warmth—today's highs near 20°C—yielding to an Atlantic frontal system ushering cooler northerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered afternoon showers that limit solar heating. Key differentiators include front timing and precipitation coverage: delayed arrival or breaks in clouds could push toward 17°C+, while persistent overcast favors 15-16°C. Official Milano Linate Airport readings resolve the market; overnight model updates may sharpen the outlook amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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