Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 24°C (37% implied probability) for Milan on April 17, closely followed by 23°C (24.5%), reflecting the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks between 23–26°C amid partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy advecting mild continental air masses, sustaining above-climatological averages (typically 17°C for April at Milano Linate Airport). Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight minimal precipitation risk but potential diurnal convection that could introduce clouds and temper peaks, while yesterday's model runs slightly cooled prior projections from early April's warm spell. New observational data and evening soundings will refine uncertainty before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 45%
23°C 26%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
NEU
$16,269 Vol.
NEU
$16,269 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
23°C 26%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
NEU
$16,269 Vol.
NEU
$16,269 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
18°C or below
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,152 Vol.
1%
21°C
$3,193 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,741 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,029 Vol.
26%
24°C
$799 Vol.
45%
25°C
$561 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,265 Vol.
4%
27°C
$934 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$942 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 24°C (37% implied probability) for Milan on April 17, closely followed by 23°C (24.5%), reflecting the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks between 23–26°C amid partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy advecting mild continental air masses, sustaining above-climatological averages (typically 17°C for April at Milano Linate Airport). Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight minimal precipitation risk but potential diurnal convection that could introduce clouds and temper peaks, while yesterday's model runs slightly cooled prior projections from early April's warm spell. New observational data and evening soundings will refine uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$16,269Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 24°C (37% implied probability) for Milan on April 17, closely followed by 23°C (24.5%), reflecting the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks between 23–26°C amid partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy advecting mild continental air masses, sustaining above-climatological averages (typically 17°C for April at Milano Linate Airport). Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight minimal precipitation risk but potential diurnal convection that could introduce clouds and temper peaks, while yesterday's model runs slightly cooled prior projections from early April's warm spell. New observational data and evening soundings will refine uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,269Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 24°C (37% implied probability) for Milan on April 17, closely followed by 23°C (24.5%), reflecting the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting daytime peaks between 23–26°C amid partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy advecting mild continental air masses, sustaining above-climatological averages (typically 17°C for April at Milano Linate Airport). Recent ARPA Lombardia updates highlight minimal precipitation risk but potential diurnal convection that could introduce clouds and temper peaks, while yesterday's model runs slightly cooled prior projections from early April's warm spell. New observational data and evening soundings will refine uncertainty before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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