Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment, with Munich's projected high temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C under transitional spring conditions featuring a building upper-level ridge and southerly warm air advection. The razor-thin margin between 18°C (35%) and 19°C (34%) reflects model spread: deterministic runs lean 18°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds capping peaks, while ensemble outliers suggest potential afternoon clearing or stronger insolation pushing to 19-20°C. Today's observed highs near 16°C provide a mild baseline above the April climatological average of 13°C, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing differentiates outcomes. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport, peaking mid-afternoon, will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 33%
20°C 28%
17°C 5.0%
$17,442 Vol.
$17,442 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C
33%
20°C
28%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 35%
19°C 33%
20°C 28%
17°C 5.0%
$17,442 Vol.
$17,442 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C
33%
20°C
28%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts drive trader sentiment, with Munich's projected high temperature on April 17 clustering around 17-20°C under transitional spring conditions featuring a building upper-level ridge and southerly warm air advection. The razor-thin margin between 18°C (35%) and 19°C (34%) reflects model spread: deterministic runs lean 18°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds capping peaks, while ensemble outliers suggest potential afternoon clearing or stronger insolation pushing to 19-20°C. Today's observed highs near 16°C provide a mild baseline above the April climatological average of 13°C, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing differentiates outcomes. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport, peaking mid-afternoon, will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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