Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 18-20°C under a transitional weather pattern ushering mild southerly air into Bavaria amid partly cloudy skies. This above-average outlook—exceeding the mid-April climatological norm of 13-15°C—stems from a developing high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation, though trader-implied probabilities split evenly between 18°C and 19°C (34% each) due to model spread in cloud variability, boundary layer mixing, and peak diurnal heating timing at the Munich Airport station. The 22% on 20°C reflects optimistic runs with fuller sunshine, while cooler outcomes lag amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; new evening model updates and today's observations will sharpen consensus before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
18°C 36%
19°C 35%
20°C 16%
21°C 4.9%
$15,150 Vol.
$15,150 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 36%
19°C 35%
20°C 16%
21°C 4.9%
$15,150 Vol.
$15,150 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
36%
19°C
35%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS project Munich's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 18-20°C under a transitional weather pattern ushering mild southerly air into Bavaria amid partly cloudy skies. This above-average outlook—exceeding the mid-April climatological norm of 13-15°C—stems from a developing high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation, though trader-implied probabilities split evenly between 18°C and 19°C (34% each) due to model spread in cloud variability, boundary layer mixing, and peak diurnal heating timing at the Munich Airport station. The 22% on 20°C reflects optimistic runs with fuller sunshine, while cooler outcomes lag amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; new evening model updates and today's observations will sharpen consensus before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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