INMET and CPTEC/INMET latest forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 11 at around 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated shower risks and strengthening sea breezes, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 36% implied probability while 25°C holds steady at 35.5%. The razor-thin spread reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and ECMWF variants show minor divergences from slight cloud thinning or delayed onshore flow, potentially allowing urban heat island effects to push peaks higher amid neutral ENSO conditions typical for autumn. Historical April highs average 25–26°C, but current cooler air mass advection caps intensity; watch overnight model runs and morning soundings for resolution-defining clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
25°C 36%
24°C 35%
26°C 16%
23°C 13%
$21,620 Vol.
$21,620 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
13%
24°C
35%
25°C
36%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 35%
26°C 16%
23°C 13%
$21,620 Vol.
$21,620 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
13%
24°C
35%
25°C
36%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...INMET and CPTEC/INMET latest forecasts project São Paulo's highest temperature on April 11 at around 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated shower risks and strengthening sea breezes, driving trader consensus toward this outcome at 36% implied probability while 25°C holds steady at 35.5%. The razor-thin spread reflects model ensemble uncertainty—GFS and ECMWF variants show minor divergences from slight cloud thinning or delayed onshore flow, potentially allowing urban heat island effects to push peaks higher amid neutral ENSO conditions typical for autumn. Historical April highs average 25–26°C, but current cooler air mass advection caps intensity; watch overnight model runs and morning soundings for resolution-defining clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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