Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C or higher (40%) and 27°C (35.5%), driven by the latest INMET and CPTEC forecast models projecting daily maxima of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds for São Paulo on April 13. These align with autumn climatology, where average highs hover around 26°C amid subsiding frontal systems from earlier April rains, allowing greater solar insolation and urban heat island effects to potentially nudge peaks upward. Key differentiators include model ensemble spreads—INMET leaning toward 28°C with minimal cloud interference, while CPTEC holds at 27°C—and diurnally varying humidity (around 50%), which could cap heating. Official station measurements from INMET will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 13. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 13. April?
28°C oder höher 40%
27°C 34%
26°C 18%
25°C 6.9%
NEU
NEU
13. Apr. 2026
18°C oder weniger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C
34%
28°C oder höher
40%
28°C oder höher 40%
27°C 34%
26°C 18%
25°C 6.9%
NEU
NEU
13. Apr. 2026
18°C oder weniger
$433 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$535 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,272 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$909 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$954 Vol.
1%
24°C
$746 Vol.
3%
25°C
$669 Vol.
7%
26°C
$672 Vol.
18%
27°C
$631 Vol.
34%
28°C oder höher
$1,347 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C or higher (40%) and 27°C (35.5%), driven by the latest INMET and CPTEC forecast models projecting daily maxima of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds for São Paulo on April 13. These align with autumn climatology, where average highs hover around 26°C amid subsiding frontal systems from earlier April rains, allowing greater solar insolation and urban heat island effects to potentially nudge peaks upward. Key differentiators include model ensemble spreads—INMET leaning toward 28°C with minimal cloud interference, while CPTEC holds at 27°C—and diurnally varying humidity (around 50%), which could cap heating. Official station measurements from INMET will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$8,755Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C or higher (40%) and 27°C (35.5%), driven by the latest INMET and CPTEC forecast models projecting daily maxima of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds for São Paulo on April 13. These align with autumn climatology, where average highs hover around 26°C amid subsiding frontal systems from earlier April rains, allowing greater solar insolation and urban heat island effects to potentially nudge peaks upward. Key differentiators include model ensemble spreads—INMET leaning toward 28°C with minimal cloud interference, while CPTEC holds at 27°C—and diurnally varying humidity (around 50%), which could cap heating. Official station measurements from INMET will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,755Enddatum
13. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 28°C or higher (40%) and 27°C (35.5%), driven by the latest INMET and CPTEC forecast models projecting daily maxima of 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds for São Paulo on April 13. These align with autumn climatology, where average highs hover around 26°C amid subsiding frontal systems from earlier April rains, allowing greater solar insolation and urban heat island effects to potentially nudge peaks upward. Key differentiators include model ensemble spreads—INMET leaning toward 28°C with minimal cloud interference, while CPTEC holds at 27°C—and diurnally varying humidity (around 50%), which could cap heating. Official station measurements from INMET will resolve the market, with final updates expected overnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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