Trader sentiment on Seattle's highest temperature March 26 heavily favors 52-53°F at 44% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA forecast models projecting daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent marine layer from the Puget Sound and an approaching Pacific low-pressure trough that suppresses warming. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs released yesterday reinforces this, showing 70% of members clustering between 50-55°F, consistent with Seattle's late-March climatology where average highs hover around 54°F but clouds and onshore flow often cap peaks below 55°F. Recent observations confirm the cool trend, with March 24 highs at 51°F, positioning 50-51°F (24%) as the next likeliest amid low confidence for warmer outliers above 56°F. Key watch: afternoon NWS forecast update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 26. März?
52-53°F 44%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 7%
43°F oder niedriger
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62°F oder höher
<1%
52-53°F 44%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 7%
43°F oder niedriger
1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
44%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Seattle's highest temperature March 26 heavily favors 52-53°F at 44% implied probability, driven by the latest NOAA forecast models projecting daytime highs in the low 50s amid a persistent marine layer from the Puget Sound and an approaching Pacific low-pressure trough that suppresses warming. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs released yesterday reinforces this, showing 70% of members clustering between 50-55°F, consistent with Seattle's late-March climatology where average highs hover around 54°F but clouds and onshore flow often cap peaks below 55°F. Recent observations confirm the cool trend, with March 24 highs at 51°F, positioning 50-51°F (24%) as the next likeliest amid low confidence for warmer outliers above 56°F. Key watch: afternoon NWS forecast update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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