Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 27 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA and ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster around 55-57°F amid a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, boosting probabilities for 56-57°F (34.5%) over 54-55°F (29.0%). Historical data from Seattle-Tacoma Airport shows average March 27 highs near 55°F, with diurnal ranges influenced by Puget Sound's marine layer, which caps peaks under persistent stratus clouds. Recent 00Z GFS runs suggest peaking insolation could nudge toward 57°F if high pressure clears skies by afternoon, while cooler ECMWF outliers factor in potential onshore flow, widening the spread between these frontrunners and explaining the tight odds. Key watch: Tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution-defining details.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 27. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 27. März?
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 15%
58-59°F 14%
45°F oder niedriger
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
4%
64°F oder höher
<1%
54-55°F 30%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 15%
58-59°F 14%
45°F oder niedriger
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
4%
64°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Seattle's March 27 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA and ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster around 55-57°F amid a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest, boosting probabilities for 56-57°F (34.5%) over 54-55°F (29.0%). Historical data from Seattle-Tacoma Airport shows average March 27 highs near 55°F, with diurnal ranges influenced by Puget Sound's marine layer, which caps peaks under persistent stratus clouds. Recent 00Z GFS runs suggest peaking insolation could nudge toward 57°F if high pressure clears skies by afternoon, while cooler ECMWF outliers factor in potential onshore flow, widening the spread between these frontrunners and explaining the tight odds. Key watch: Tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution-defining details.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen