Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly contested around 14-16°C, with 15°C edging ahead at 22% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) ensemble forecasts converging on mid-teens Celsius peaks amid a transitional spring pattern. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS highlight differentiating factors like variable cloud cover—potentially capping highs at 14°C if low-level stratus lingers—or clearer skies and southerly winds boosting to 16°C via enhanced insolation and warm air advection from the Pacific. Historical March 27 averages sit at 13.5°C, but above-normal sea surface temperatures and a retreating Siberian high pressure system underpin the upside skew, with KMA's next hourly update poised to refine odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul am 27. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul am 27. März?
15°C 22%
14°C 20%
16°C oder höher 20%
13°C 15%
$13,835 Vol.
$13,835 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
13%
13°C
15%
14°C
20%
15°C
22%
16°C oder höher
20%
15°C 22%
14°C 20%
16°C oder höher 20%
13°C 15%
$13,835 Vol.
$13,835 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
13%
13°C
15%
14°C
20%
15°C
22%
16°C oder höher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 27 remains tightly contested around 14-16°C, with 15°C edging ahead at 22% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) ensemble forecasts converging on mid-teens Celsius peaks amid a transitional spring pattern. Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS highlight differentiating factors like variable cloud cover—potentially capping highs at 14°C if low-level stratus lingers—or clearer skies and southerly winds boosting to 16°C via enhanced insolation and warm air advection from the Pacific. Historical March 27 averages sit at 13.5°C, but above-normal sea surface temperatures and a retreating Siberian high pressure system underpin the upside skew, with KMA's next hourly update poised to refine odds further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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