Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
30°C 38%
29°C 32%
28°C 17%
31°C 7.6%
NEU
$22,593 Vol.
NEU
$22,593 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
17%
29°C
32%
30°C
38%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 38%
29°C 32%
28°C 17%
31°C 7.6%
NEU
$22,593 Vol.
NEU
$22,593 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
22°C or below
$1,331 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,808 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,464 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,843 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,005 Vol.
17%
29°C
$485 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,387 Vol.
38%
31°C
$2,516 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$1,771 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Volumen
$22,593Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,593Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen