Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shenzhen's April 17 high temperature tightly around 27–30°C, with 28°C leading at 28.5%, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the upper 20s Celsius amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China. Recent model runs, updated within the last 24 hours, indicate slight warming from early April's averages of 26°C, fueled by high pressure suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cumulus development introduce uncertainty differentiating 27°C (cooler moderation) from 29–30°C (clearer skies). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen add 1–2°C above rural baselines. Watch China Meteorological Administration's evening forecast and tomorrow's ECMWF release for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
23%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
23%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shenzhen's April 17 high temperature tightly around 27–30°C, with 28°C leading at 28.5%, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the upper 20s Celsius amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China. Recent model runs, updated within the last 24 hours, indicate slight warming from early April's averages of 26°C, fueled by high pressure suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cumulus development introduce uncertainty differentiating 27°C (cooler moderation) from 29–30°C (clearer skies). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen add 1–2°C above rural baselines. Watch China Meteorological Administration's evening forecast and tomorrow's ECMWF release for refinements ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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