The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 17 at 24-29°C amid partly cloudy skies with isolated showers or thunderstorms, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 30°C (26.5%), 29°C (23.5%), and 28°C (20.5%). This tight clustering reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, where afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin could push peaks toward 30°C, while convective activity or thicker cloud cover caps them lower. Recent days saw spikes above 33°C under a subtropical ridge, but rising moisture signals a modest cooldown from climatological April highs near 25°C. Traders await overnight model runs and morning observations for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 17. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 17. April?
30°C 27%
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 14%
$20,635 Vol.
$20,635 Vol.
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 27%
29°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 14%
$20,635 Vol.
$20,635 Vol.
24°C oder darunter
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
12%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest guidance projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 17 at 24-29°C amid partly cloudy skies with isolated showers or thunderstorms, fueling closely matched market-implied probabilities for 30°C (26.5%), 29°C (23.5%), and 28°C (20.5%). This tight clustering reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, where afternoon solar heating and urban heat island effects in the Taipei basin could push peaks toward 30°C, while convective activity or thicker cloud cover caps them lower. Recent days saw spikes above 33°C under a subtropical ridge, but rising moisture signals a modest cooldown from climatological April highs near 25°C. Traders await overnight model runs and morning observations for resolution clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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