Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv stabilizing near 31–32°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean high-pressure patterns, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating without significant cooling from sea breezes or precipitation. Official outlooks project a daily maximum around 31°C with afternoon readings climbing to that level under clear to partly cloudy skies and humidity near 60%, consistent with seasonal baselines but short of extreme heat-wave thresholds. These conditions explain the market's strong implied probability for 32°C, with limited upside risk from model consensus showing stable steering patterns and no incoming fronts. Updated hourly data releases through the afternoon will refine the exact peak for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 12. September?
32°C 73%
31°C 25%
33°C 3%
30°C <1%
$18,587 Vol.
$18,587 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
25%
32°C
73%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 73%
31°C 25%
33°C 3%
30°C <1%
$18,587 Vol.
$18,587 Vol.
28°C oder weniger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
25%
32°C
73%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv stabilizing near 31–32°C on September 12, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean high-pressure patterns, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover that allow strong daytime heating without significant cooling from sea breezes or precipitation. Official outlooks project a daily maximum around 31°C with afternoon readings climbing to that level under clear to partly cloudy skies and humidity near 60%, consistent with seasonal baselines but short of extreme heat-wave thresholds. These conditions explain the market's strong implied probability for 32°C, with limited upside risk from model consensus showing stable steering patterns and no incoming fronts. Updated hourly data releases through the afternoon will refine the exact peak for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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