Latest forecasts from multiple models project a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and afternoon humidity near 60%, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtle differences between leading probabilities stem from variations in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble runs, where small shifts in dew points or wind could push readings one degree higher or lower. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current conditions lack the anomalous warmth seen in prior heat events. Updated global model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations on the day will refine resolution ahead of the close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 14. September?
33°C 51%
32°C 41%
34°C 37%
35°C 15%
29°C oder niedriger
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
41%
33°C
34%
34°C
37%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C oder höher
2%
33°C 51%
32°C 41%
34°C 37%
35°C 15%
29°C oder niedriger
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
41%
33°C
34%
34°C
37%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models project a maximum temperature of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 14 under mostly clear skies, light northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and afternoon humidity near 60%, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Subtle differences between leading probabilities stem from variations in peak solar heating and boundary-layer mixing within ensemble runs, where small shifts in dew points or wind could push readings one degree higher or lower. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current conditions lack the anomalous warmth seen in prior heat events. Updated global model guidance and official Israel Meteorological Service observations on the day will refine resolution ahead of the close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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