Stable atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, including light northwest winds and mostly clear skies, support overnight radiative cooling consistent with minimum temperatures near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 12. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily low around 24–25°C, aligning with historical September averages for the coastal plain where sea breezes and moderate humidity limit further drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 75% implied probability for 24°C and 48% for 23°C incorporates these model outputs, with the small probability mass on 19°C or below acknowledging potential for localized cooling under calm conditions. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 12. September?
24°C 99%
23°C 96%
19°C oder niedriger 19.4%
22°C 9%
19°C oder niedriger
19%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
96%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 99%
23°C 96%
19°C oder niedriger 19.4%
22°C 9%
19°C oder niedriger
19%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
96%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Stable atmospheric conditions over the eastern Mediterranean, including light northwest winds and mostly clear skies, support overnight radiative cooling consistent with minimum temperatures near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 12. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate a daily low around 24–25°C, aligning with historical September averages for the coastal plain where sea breezes and moderate humidity limit further drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 75% implied probability for 24°C and 48% for 23°C incorporates these model outputs, with the small probability mass on 19°C or below acknowledging potential for localized cooling under calm conditions. No significant weather systems are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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