Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly to northwesterly winds that limit cooling from the Mediterranean Sea. Early September climatology features average highs of 29–30°C with low precipitation risk; current runs show modest elevation above baseline due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model agreement across sources supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C, while slight divergences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing keep a smaller probability on 33°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 3. September?
32°C 69%
33°C 23%
31°C 8%
30°C 3%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
69%
33°C
23%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 69%
33°C 23%
31°C 8%
30°C 3%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
29°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$463 Vol.
3%
31°C
$252 Vol.
8%
32°C
$1,125 Vol.
69%
33°C
$975 Vol.
23%
34°C
$214 Vol.
2%
35°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$426 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly to northwesterly winds that limit cooling from the Mediterranean Sea. Early September climatology features average highs of 29–30°C with low precipitation risk; current runs show modest elevation above baseline due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model agreement across sources supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C, while slight divergences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing keep a smaller probability on 33°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,015Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly to northwesterly winds that limit cooling from the Mediterranean Sea. Early September climatology features average highs of 29–30°C with low precipitation risk; current runs show modest elevation above baseline due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model agreement across sources supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C, while slight divergences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing keep a smaller probability on 33°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,015Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on September 3, driven by persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light westerly to northwesterly winds that limit cooling from the Mediterranean Sea. Early September climatology features average highs of 29–30°C with low precipitation risk; current runs show modest elevation above baseline due to stable subsidence and minimal cloud cover. Model agreement across sources supports the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C, while slight divergences in peak timing or boundary-layer mixing keep a smaller probability on 33°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could adjust these implied probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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