Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (34%) as Tokyo's high on March 27, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast pinpointing 17°C amid a mild early-spring pattern, with global models like ECMWF and GFS converging around 16-18°C. Differentiating these close outcomes, 16°C gains traction (26.5%) if increased cloud cover from an approaching front suppresses daytime heating, while 18°C (20.5%) hinges on sunnier skies boosting solar insolation over Tokyo's urban heat island. Historical March 27 highs average 14-15°C, but this year's positive temperature anomaly—tied to warmer East Asian sea surface temperatures—elevates odds for the upper teens; watch afternoon updates for shifts as boundary layer mixing evolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 27. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 27. März?
17°C 34%
16°C 25%
18°C 21%
19°C 12%
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
27%
17°C
34%
18°C
21%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C oder höher
3%
17°C 34%
16°C 25%
18°C 21%
19°C 12%
11°C oder weniger
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
27%
17°C
34%
18°C
21%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 17°C (34%) as Tokyo's high on March 27, driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast pinpointing 17°C amid a mild early-spring pattern, with global models like ECMWF and GFS converging around 16-18°C. Differentiating these close outcomes, 16°C gains traction (26.5%) if increased cloud cover from an approaching front suppresses daytime heating, while 18°C (20.5%) hinges on sunnier skies boosting solar insolation over Tokyo's urban heat island. Historical March 27 highs average 14-15°C, but this year's positive temperature anomaly—tied to warmer East Asian sea surface temperatures—elevates odds for the upper teens; watch afternoon updates for shifts as boundary layer mixing evolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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