Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11–13°C for Toronto's March 26 high temperature, driven by the latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble model outputs from CMC and ECMWF projecting a peak near 12°C under a mild southerly air mass. This reflects a 5–7°C anomaly above the historical March 26 average of about 8°C, fueled by post-winter warming patterns but tempered by Lake Ontario moderation and variable cloud cover. Differentiation hinges on shortwave radiation penetration: fuller sun favors 13°C via enhanced surface heating, while persistent stratus decks cap at 11°C through reduced insolation. Traders eye the next 12Z model runs for resolution shifts amid 1–2°C ensemble spreads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 26. März?
12°C 22.6%
11°C 21%
13°C 20%
14°C 15.0%
$17,657 Vol.
$17,657 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
4%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
21%
12°C
23%
13°C
20%
14°C
15%
15°C
7%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
2%
12°C 22.6%
11°C 21%
13°C 20%
14°C 15.0%
$17,657 Vol.
$17,657 Vol.
8°C oder darunter
4%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
21%
12°C
23%
13°C
20%
14°C
15%
15°C
7%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11–13°C for Toronto's March 26 high temperature, driven by the latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble model outputs from CMC and ECMWF projecting a peak near 12°C under a mild southerly air mass. This reflects a 5–7°C anomaly above the historical March 26 average of about 8°C, fueled by post-winter warming patterns but tempered by Lake Ontario moderation and variable cloud cover. Differentiation hinges on shortwave radiation penetration: fuller sun favors 13°C via enhanced surface heating, while persistent stratus decks cap at 11°C through reduced insolation. Traders eye the next 12Z model runs for resolution shifts amid 1–2°C ensemble spreads.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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