Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts indicating a daytime peak of 22°C under light rain and partly cloudy skies, following recent showers that capped April 14's high near 20°C. Persistent cloud cover and 25% precipitation odds limit solar insolation, potentially suppressing the max below 21°C (38% implied probability), while intermittent clearing could push it to 23°C per ensemble models like ECMWF analogs. Spring variability in the Yangtze River basin amplifies uncertainty, with official station observations through afternoon determining resolution; monitor CMA hourly updates for shifts. Historical mid-April highs average 22°C, aligning with current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 15. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 15. April?
22°C 48%
21°C oder niedriger 34.6%
23°C 19%
24°C 3.0%
NEU
$26,410 Vol.
NEU
$26,410 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
19%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder mehr
<1%
22°C 48%
21°C oder niedriger 34.6%
23°C 19%
24°C 3.0%
NEU
$26,410 Vol.
NEU
$26,410 Vol.
15. Apr. 2026
21°C oder niedriger
$5,611 Vol.
38%
22°C
$1,375 Vol.
39%
23°C
$2,807 Vol.
19%
24°C
$3,340 Vol.
3%
25°C
$2,531 Vol.
1%
26°C
$3,480 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,745 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$665 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder mehr
$2,705 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts indicating a daytime peak of 22°C under light rain and partly cloudy skies, following recent showers that capped April 14's high near 20°C. Persistent cloud cover and 25% precipitation odds limit solar insolation, potentially suppressing the max below 21°C (38% implied probability), while intermittent clearing could push it to 23°C per ensemble models like ECMWF analogs. Spring variability in the Yangtze River basin amplifies uncertainty, with official station observations through afternoon determining resolution; monitor CMA hourly updates for shifts. Historical mid-April highs average 22°C, aligning with current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$26,410Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts indicating a daytime peak of 22°C under light rain and partly cloudy skies, following recent showers that capped April 14's high near 20°C. Persistent cloud cover and 25% precipitation odds limit solar insolation, potentially suppressing the max below 21°C (38% implied probability), while intermittent clearing could push it to 23°C per ensemble models like ECMWF analogs. Spring variability in the Yangtze River basin amplifies uncertainty, with official station observations through afternoon determining resolution; monitor CMA hourly updates for shifts. Historical mid-April highs average 22°C, aligning with current positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$26,410Enddatum
15. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts indicating a daytime peak of 22°C under light rain and partly cloudy skies, following recent showers that capped April 14's high near 20°C. Persistent cloud cover and 25% precipitation odds limit solar insolation, potentially suppressing the max below 21°C (38% implied probability), while intermittent clearing could push it to 23°C per ensemble models like ECMWF analogs. Spring variability in the Yangtze River basin amplifies uncertainty, with official station observations through afternoon determining resolution; monitor CMA hourly updates for shifts. Historical mid-April highs average 22°C, aligning with current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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