Latest numerical weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Zhengzhou's August 9 maximum temperature likely reaching 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in the East Asian monsoon regime can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days' slightly cooler advection has kept forecasts anchored around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these variables against official station measurement protocols, which record the single highest hourly value before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 9. August?
31°C 50%
30°C 43%
29°C 24%
27°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
14%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
43%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
44%
31°C 50%
30°C 43%
29°C 24%
27°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
14%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
43%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Zhengzhou's August 9 maximum temperature likely reaching 30–31°C under subtropical high pressure, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further warming. This setup produces closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or model bias in the East Asian monsoon regime can shift the daily peak by 1°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32°C, yet recent days' slightly cooler advection has kept forecasts anchored around 30–31°C. Traders weigh these variables against official station measurement protocols, which record the single highest hourly value before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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