Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and global models indicate overnight lows in Moscow on September 23 will likely fall between 11–14°C under the influence of an intermediate high-pressure ridge following cyclonic activity, keeping conditions 2–3°C above seasonal norms with scattered light rain and easterly winds. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustering around mid-teens while the near-even split between 19°C+ and 9°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in minimum timing and localized cooling potential. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and similar sources in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the warm anomaly or allow sharper nocturnal drops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 23. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 23. September?
19°C oder höher 81%
9°C oder darunter 41%
12°C 23%
11°C 23%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
41%
10°C
21%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16°C
17%
17°C
17%
18°C
5%
19°C oder höher
81%
19°C oder höher 81%
9°C oder darunter 41%
12°C 23%
11°C 23%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
9°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
41%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$40 Vol.
17%
17°C
$40 Vol.
17%
18°C
$100 Vol.
5%
19°C oder höher
$100 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and global models indicate overnight lows in Moscow on September 23 will likely fall between 11–14°C under the influence of an intermediate high-pressure ridge following cyclonic activity, keeping conditions 2–3°C above seasonal norms with scattered light rain and easterly winds. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustering around mid-teens while the near-even split between 19°C+ and 9°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in minimum timing and localized cooling potential. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and similar sources in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the warm anomaly or allow sharper nocturnal drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$281Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and global models indicate overnight lows in Moscow on September 23 will likely fall between 11–14°C under the influence of an intermediate high-pressure ridge following cyclonic activity, keeping conditions 2–3°C above seasonal norms with scattered light rain and easterly winds. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustering around mid-teens while the near-even split between 19°C+ and 9°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in minimum timing and localized cooling potential. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and similar sources in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the warm anomaly or allow sharper nocturnal drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$281Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and global models indicate overnight lows in Moscow on September 23 will likely fall between 11–14°C under the influence of an intermediate high-pressure ridge following cyclonic activity, keeping conditions 2–3°C above seasonal norms with scattered light rain and easterly winds. This consensus supports market-implied probabilities clustering around mid-teens while the near-even split between 19°C+ and 9°C-or-below outcomes reflects model spread in minimum timing and localized cooling potential. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and similar sources in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether steering patterns sustain the warm anomaly or allow sharper nocturnal drops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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